Smart Networks

Short-Term Forecasting Platform

Develop and evolve short-term forecasting tools/models to predict load, generation, network constraint and load related network intervention requirements across different voltage levels and operational timescales.

Key deliverables

  • Forecasting curtailment publicly released
  • Forecasting for Flexibility Services dispatch platform available in DSO control room
  • Forecasting Dynamic Outage Management platform available in DSO control room
  • Forecasting for Day Ahead Flex Procurement available for use in DSO control room and dispatch team

Target outcomes

  • Broader, more effective stakeholder engagement
  • Enable rollout of customer offering informed by short term forecasts
  • Increased stakeholder access to a broader variety of forecasting datasets
  • Maximising network access to DERs
  • Improved DER operations scheduling
  • Improved DER access to markets
  • Efficient scheduling of Flex markets

Measures of success

  • Ability to procure flexibility closer to real time
  • Ability to proactively inform customers on network plans

Stakeholder Engagement

Engaged with DER customers via email for curtailment forecasting. Day ahead forecast for flexibility markets to be communicated as early 2024 at flexibility forums

Timeline

Planned start:
01.04.2023
Target completion:
12.03.2025

Status

Completed

Milestones

  • Forecasting for Flexibility services dispatch (Dec 23)
  • Forecasting curtailment (Mar 24)
  • Forecasting for secondary substations (Oct 24)

Change log

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